Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
77 Arkansas Little Rock 100.0%   12   27 - 4 17 - 3 27 - 4 17 - 3 +7.2      +2.8 101 +4.4 64 59.8 345 +11.4 41 +7.9 1
107 Texas Arlington 0.0%   22 - 10 13 - 7 22 - 10 13 - 7 +4.4      +1.1 150 +3.4 87 79.5 21 +3.5 120 +1.2 3
126 Louisiana 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 8 15 - 14 12 - 8 +2.6      +3.0 98 -0.4 185 75.0 69 -0.6 170 +0.3 4
139 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   18 - 13 15 - 5 18 - 13 15 - 5 +1.9      +1.8 129 +0.1 176 64.7 301 +1.9 140 +5.1 2
198 Georgia St. 0.0%   14 - 14 9 - 11 14 - 14 9 - 11 -2.2      -3.7 271 +1.5 132 62.5 334 -1.3 182 -3.2 6
216 Georgia Southern 0.0%   12 - 17 10 - 10 12 - 17 10 - 10 -3.4      -0.6 186 -2.8 252 72.1 123 -4.6 233 -1.7 5
219 Texas St. 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 12 13 - 16 8 - 12 -3.5      -3.7 270 +0.1 174 61.4 339 -4.1 227 -4.4 8
257 Arkansas St. 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 13 9 - 20 7 - 13 -6.0      -3.8 277 -2.2 227 80.0 18 -7.1 274 -5.4 10
260 Appalachian St. 0.0%   9 - 22 7 - 13 9 - 22 7 - 13 -6.1      -2.3 227 -3.9 275 76.2 56 -6.7 266 -5.4 9
265 South Alabama 0.0%   12 - 19 8 - 12 12 - 19 8 - 12 -6.4      -7.1 323 +0.7 156 74.0 87 -4.1 228 -4.0 7
285 Troy 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 16 7 - 22 4 - 16 -8.0      -5.1 302 -2.8 253 70.9 151 -8.7 291 -9.9 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Arkansas Little Rock 1.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 3.0 100.0
Louisiana 4.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 2.0 100.0
Georgia St. 6.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 5.0 100.0
Texas St. 7.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 9.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 9.0 100.0
South Alabama 7.0 100.0
Troy 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Arkansas Little Rock 17 - 3 100.0
Texas Arlington 13 - 7 100.0
Louisiana 12 - 8 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 15 - 5 100.0
Georgia St. 9 - 11 100.0
Georgia Southern 10 - 10 100.0
Texas St. 8 - 12 100.0
Arkansas St. 7 - 13 100.0
Appalachian St. 7 - 13 100.0
South Alabama 8 - 12 100.0
Troy 4 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0
Texas Arlington
Louisiana
Louisiana Monroe
Georgia St.
Georgia Southern
Texas St.
Arkansas St.
Appalachian St.
South Alabama
Troy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.3 19.2 60.7 19.4 0.4
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arkansas Little Rock 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 22.0% 5.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 22.0% 0.2 78.0 22.0
Sweet Sixteen 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0